CF Industries Holdings ($CF) podcast mentions
at least the second largest uranium miner, but really the largest uranium miner that you can purchase easily on major exchanges here. They also bought Westinghouse Electric Company, which provides nuclear reactors. They bought it out of bankruptcy. Some years ago. So it's no longer just a pure play uranium company. That gives it a bit of diversity, especially in an age when the demand for energy is just going up and up and up with AI and obviously domestic energy consumption rising for increased industrial demand, not just AI. Right. Restoring manufacturing, for example. What's interesting here is that Westinghouse is about 50% of its revenue now. However, it's still about only 5% of its operating income. So yes, it has a lot of revenue there, but uranium is still what makes the bulk of their money. So understand that. It has come down. It's a name we've owned for clients for a long time. I think since the '20s— was in the '20s. It's at $87 now, but that's after a high of $135 just earlier this year. So definitely a large pullback, but I think it is at good support here. So this is an area that we, you know, we've been patient really for most of the year to pick it up for new clients. We just recently started picking it up for new clients. Now, long term, very bullish on uranium. Most importantly, the cost of production still is higher than the current price of uranium. So there's not a lot of new uranium coming on because of that, which means that prices are likely to go up over the medium to long term. They made a great show yesterday. We looked into the story, dollar versus emerging market currencies, the safe haven rally, a trap. I discussed how the US dollar has been gaining ground as investors flee to safety, but a strong dollar has its own sets of consequences. We also answer a list of questions on CF Industries. If you happen to miss it, go check it out. The best way to get every show is to follow Invest Talk wherever you get your podcasts. Now we have a lot of ground to cover over the next 45 minutes or so. Our main focus point is about The Fed's impossible position: war inflation versus rate cuts.
Justin Klein · InvestTalk · The Fed's Impossible Position: War Inflation vs. Rate Cuts · 2026-07-25Hey guys, this is, uh, Brian in Florida again. Just wanted to call and get your take on CF Industries. I know you guys were a fan of it for a period of time and it was, uh, kind of a play on natural gas prices. I'm just curious, you know, where you see this going. You know, is it, is good entry price at this point. Looking forward, I know it's probably somewhat levered to natural gas, so just wanted to get your take on it. Yep. Let me know. I'll be listening. Thank you. Yeah.
Speaker D · InvestTalk · Dollar vs. Emerging Market Currencies: Is the Safe-Haven Rally a Trap? · 2026-07-24Looking at CF Industries, they manufacture nitrogen fertilizer. We used to own this for a while. We no longer do, although it's starting to do well once again because it's moved up from the beginning of the year when it was trading in the mid-70s and now we're at 126. So it's had a good year so far. That's because earnings are expected to go from $9.57 last year to $16, nearly $17 per share in earnings this year, but back down to $11 a share next year. That's $126 stock. So forward-looking earnings are still— take this year, next year, you're kind of at a 10x multiple if you're, if you're smoothing the earnings volatility. So it's relatively cheap. Now what I said before is a lot of fertilizer, this Though most people don't know, about half of fertilizer that's used is artificial, meaning that it's produced using mainly natural gas. They're pumping it. There's a process to it, but basically natural gas is a big input to that artificial fertilizer. And so domestic fertilizer producers that can access very cheap natural gas are creating this fertilizer and they're exporting it abroad. And it's basically an arbitrage because natural gas in Europe, for example, is double or triple the price. So that's why CF Industries continues to do very well. You're having disruptions in supply chains in the Middle East. Therefore, if you have supply chains here domestically, then you're able to extract higher profits. And that's why I think you have high profits this year, an expectation of lower profits next year, and a, a return to normal. But I actually think there— this— the issues in the Middle East and geopolitically are going to continue. And so I would be bullish on CF Industries. Now, the next Invest Talk, we look into the story, the Fed's impossible position: war, inflation versus rate cuts. That story is for tomorrow. But for now, I'm Justin Klein. I'm ready to take your calls now or anytime at 888-99-CHART. At KPP Financial, Accountability means more than advice. It means we invest alongside you through our parallel investing approach. When we recommend an investment for clients, one or more KAPP principals invest their own capital at the same time, same day, same price, same percentage. If your portfolio moves, ours does too. That is alignment. That is transparency.
Justin Klein · InvestTalk · Dollar vs. Emerging Market Currencies: Is the Safe-Haven Rally a Trap? · 2026-07-24Hi Justin, I was hoping I can get your thoughts on the ag industry, specifically tickers ADM and CF. That's Archer Daniels Midland and CF Industries. I've held these companies on and off for quite some time now and I can never seem to get it right. Just wondering if you can just take a look at these or let me know your thoughts. Is it worth holding on to at the moment? Thank you very much, have a great day.
Steve Peasley · InvestTalk · Net Worth Milestones by Age: Why Net Worth Matters More Than Income for Financial Security · 2026-06-05Looking at Archer Daniels Midland, ADM, as well as CF Industries. Now CF is more of a fertilizer player versus ADM more focuses on the— call it the, the nuts and bolts of the ag business. They produce oilseeds, corn, wheat, cacao, and other agricultural commodities. They have ag services, carbohydrate solutions. I mean, they're, they're large, $40 billion market cap. Unfortunately, their profitability is pretty meager, only about a 5% return on equity versus CF Industries. Their business tends to be much better. You take a look at their profitability, return equity is 27%, so I like that. I like companies with big profits consistently. If you look at the overall returns, Archer Daniels Midland has a 10-year— I'm gonna go 15-year— 15-year 8.5% total return, trailing return, annualized total return, 15 years. CF Industries, because it's a lot more profitable, 16.5%. Its 10-year yield. Sorry, that's its 10-year yield. 10.5 is its 15-year yield. So if you should look at a 10-year, 16% for CF, 8.5% for Archer Daniels, and once again reflected in the overall profitability. Now CF is a bit— tends to be a bit more volatile, so you have to be comfortable with that. But I, I am. I, I'll take the volatility for a business that's just more consistent. So if I'm picking one, I'm picking CF Industries and I'd probably sell ADM. Lastly, let's talk about the million-dollar mark. There used to be, uh, need a million dollars and I can retire. And there's some recent surveys from Empower, Schroeder's, Northwestern Mutual, and their averages range from about $1.1 million is what the average pre-retiree is targeting for retirement, saying, I will have enough at this age, at this amount, uh, to retire. And Power, like I said, $1.1 million, Schroeder's $1.3 million, Northwestern Mutual $1.5 million. So what is the real number? And I think the reality is depends on the person, depends on the location you're going to retire to, depends on the lifestyle you are going to lead. There's definitely not a one-size-fits-all solution here. It oversimplifies retirement planning. It all depends on how you want to spend your golden years. Also, how long you're going to be in those golden years, your life expectancy when you retire.
Justin Klein · InvestTalk · Net Worth Milestones by Age: Why Net Worth Matters More Than Income for Financial Security · 2026-06-05